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January 2018:

  • A review paper on spline-based nonparametric inference in general state-switching models, co-authored by Roland, Timo and MSc student Sina, was accepted at Statistica Neerlandica.

  • Odile will visit the DIW in Berlin with PhD student Kim Zolitschka to analyse spatial structures in health outcomes of SOEP data using geo-locations of participants (as part of DFG projekt "From urban neighbourhood heterogeneities to health inequalities: social, mechanisms, environmental exposures and their interaction").

  • Roland gave a talk in the FSPM2 colloquium at Bielefeld University.

  • In the first year after the re-launch of the StatBeCe in early 2017, 23 researchers or researcher teams — 4 external, 19 from Bielefeld University — contacted us for statistic consulting or collaboration. The head of the StatBeCe, Odile Sauzet, also gave a web-seminar for a graduate school.

December 2017:

  • We are advertising a postdoc position.

  • Roland gave a keynote presentation at moving2gather in Montpellier.

  • Timo gave an invited talk at CMStatistics 2017 in London.

  • A paper on betting market inefficiencies in German football, co-authored by Marius, was accepted at Applied Economics.

  • The FAZ featured an article about Data Science, mentioning our new MSc degree.


  • A paper on Markov-switching GAMs for forecasting operational losses in banking, co-authored by Roland, was accepted at Quantitative Finance.

  • Roland gave a talk in the stats seminar at the Helmut Schmidt University in Hamburg.

November 2017:

  • Odile successfully completed her habilitation!

  • Roland attended a two-day workshop on multi-state models in Berlin. The workshop had been organised by Jutta Gampe and Hein Putter.

  • The DFG is funding a new Bielefeld/Münster Collaborative Research Centre ("Sonderforschungsbereich"), with Roland being one of the principal investigators.

  • Roland gave a career talk at the University of Göttingen – here are his slides.

October 2017:


September 2017:


August 2017:

  • At the end of August, the two-day final review meeting of the proposed Collaborative Research Centre ("Sonderforschungsbereich") NC3 — where Roland is one of the PIs — took place at the ZiF in Bielefeld. Fingers crossed that we'll receive the funding for this exciting initiative!

  • Roland, Jenny and Timo, together with Théo Michelot and Stacy DeRuiter, gave a workshop on hidden Markov models at the University of St Andrews, UK. Two very intense and fun days!


  • Roland was one of three guest editors for a JABES special issue on animal movement modelling, the papers of which are now all online. An overview of the contributions can be found here.

July 2017:


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April 2017:


March 2017:


February 2017:


January 2017:

  • Odile Sauzet, together with Oliver Razum, won a DFG grant to work on a research project entitled "From urban neighbourhood heterogeneities to health inequalities: social mechanisms, environmental exposures and their interaction".

December 2016:


November 2016:

  • We created the virtual research group EcoHMM, the aim of which is to synthesise research on the application of hidden Markov models to ecological data, which we hope will lead to many successful future collaborations.

  • Jennifer Pohle, Timo Adam, Christian Schellhase and Roland Langrock participated in BI.teach, with Roland discussing some key aspects of good teaching.

October 2016:

September 2016:

August 2016:

  • Paper accepted at Methods in Ecology and Evolution on modelling animal accelerometer data using HMMs, with illustrations using real data collected on eagles and sharks (link to the paper).

July 2016:

June 2016:

  • Roland Langrock published a book with Chapman and Hall: Hidden Markov Models for Time Series — An Introduction Using R (2nd Edition).

  • Timo Adam has joined the group as a PhD student. Timo wrote his Master's thesis on nonparametric methods for Markov-switching regression models and is going to continue working in this area during his PhD. Welcome Timo!

  • Jennifer Pohle gave a talk in the sociology seminar series "Quantitative Methods and Statistics" at Bielefeld University — the title of her talk was "Probit and mixed logit models for panel data - a theoretical and simulation comparison".

  • Roland Langrock gave a talk on HMMs to members of the chemical ecology group at Bielefeld University.

May 2016:

  • Odile Sauzet has joined the group. Odile will be in charge of the statistical consulting unit (StatBeCe). Welcome Odile!
  • Christian Schellhase attended the conference "Dependence Modeling in Finance, Insurance and Environmental Science" in Munich and gave a talk on "Nonparametric Estimation of Counterfactual Distributions for the Munich Rent Survey".

April 2016:

  • The Centre for Statistics (ZeSt) at Bielefeld University held a workshop for quantitative PhD students, with the students presenting and discussing their research. It is planned to have another such workshop in early October.

  • Roland Langrock gave a career talk to PhD students and postdocs at Bielefeld University — here are his slides (in German).

  • Paper accepted at Methods in Ecology and Evolution on the movement of the legendary wild haggis animal our R package for analyzing movement data using HMMs (link to the paper).

  • Jennifer Pohle has joined the group as a PhD student. She recently completed her MSc in Statistical Science here at Bielefeld University. Welcome Jenny!

March 2016:

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January 2016:

December 2015:

November 2015:

October 2015:


Aktuelles

New paper

Paper accepted at Statistica Neerlandica on nonparametric inference in HMM-type models.

New paper

Paper accepted at Applied Economics on betting market inefficiencies in German football.

New paper

Paper accepted at Quantitative Finance that uses Markov-switching GAMs for forecasting operational losses in banking.

SFB

Roland is a PI within a new "Sonderforschungsbereich".

Workshop on HMMs

We gave a two-day workshop on hidden Markov models at the University of St Andrews.

New paper

Paper published at Dependence Modeling that compares methods for nonparametric estimation of simplified vines.

New paper

Our review paper on statistical models for animal movement got accepted at AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis.

New paper

Paper accepted at AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv estimating income mobility with D-vines using bivariate penalized splines.

New paper

Paper accepted at JABES on selecting the number of states of an HMM.

New paper

Paper accepted at JABES on multi-scale modelling of animal movement and general animal behaviour.

New paper

Paper accepted at Ecology on the estimation and simulation of foraging trips of central-place foragers.

Karl Peter Grotemeyer Prize

Roland Langrock will be awarded the Karl Peter Grotemeyer Prize.